The Madden Moneyline: Week 4 Outlook
by
JersanOne
Published on Wed, Sep 30, 2020 at 8:30 am PST
Photo Courtesy: actionnetwork.com
The accuracy of Madden simulations versus reality are well-documented. We set out to see just how accurate,
and pass that info to you. We do all the heavy lifting for you. We will this info and let's see how it compares to reality.
We've spent many hours running simulations and charting the results. And now for the first time,
Schmuck Sports is proud to give it to you! Let's break down some matchups in the hopes of gaining insight on not only
game outcome, but player performance.
BRONCOS @ JETS
Bottom Line: Jets woes continue
Struggling to get into a consistent game flow with so many injuries on the Offensive side of the ball,
Darnold was able to connect with #3 receiver Berrios 9 times for 140 total yds and 1 TD.
It was still not enough offensive production to hold home court
PROJECTED SCORE
 |
30 |
 |
28 |
Gordon has 129 yds and 3 TDs on the ground to go along with 7 catches for 65 yds and a TD,
4 total scores as the Broncos win with a last minute field goal.
Darnold had 2 key fumbles that kept the Broncos alive long enough to win the game.
LETS GAMBLE
Broncos don’t cover spread only winning by 2 and the total goes way over 40 with a total of 58.
|
Vegas |
|
Sim |
|
| Spread |
-3 |
|
-2 |
| Total |
40 |
|
58 |
Schmuck's guidance:
Take the OVER and if you can, tease the spread to -2.
COLTS @ BEARS
Bottom Line: Rivers' offense clicking, defense humming
Nick Foles looked good in the first half playing mistake free football
and connecting on 2 TD passes to keep the score close at the half.
PROJECTED SCORE
 |
49 |
 |
28 |
Indy offense looked great against a good Chicago defense,
but it was the Colts defense that won them the game, forcing Foles into a couple turnovers in the 4th qtr that
led to 21 pts scored by the Colts, and put the game out of reach.
LETS GAMBLE
|
Vegas |
|
Sim |
|
| Spread |
-2.5 |
|
-21 |
| Total |
45 |
|
75 |
Schmuck's guidance:
The Colts are rolling. Rivers looks decent at moving the ball, and their defense is dangerous. Roll with the Colts.
IND - 2.5
IND OVER 45
SAINTS @ LIONS
Bottom Line: Saints jump out to an early lead and never look back
New Orleans jumped out to a 14-0 lead in the 1st qtr, what looked to end up being a blowout.
Detroit Defense held the Saints out of the end zone for the rest of the half and went into the locker room 14-13 for halftime.
PROJECTED SCORE
 |
24 |
 |
19 |
The Lions Defense was able to slow the scoring down but not stop it completely.
Alvin Kamara finished with 115 yds and a TD, along with 50yds receiving.
LETS GAMBLE
|
Vegas |
|
Sim |
|
| Spread |
-4 |
|
-5 |
| Total |
56 |
|
43 |
Schmuck's guidance:
Saints win comfortably, but don't go over.
NO - 4
ATL UNDER 56
-JersanOne
Schmuck Sports Contributor