The Madden Moneyline: Week 2 Outlook
by
JersanOne
Published on Wed, Sep 17, 2020 at 8:30 am PST
Photo Courtesy: espn.com
The accuracy of Madden simulations versus reality are well-documented. We set out to see just how accurate,
and pass that info to you. We do all the heavy lifting for you. We will this info and let's see how it compares to reality.
We've spent many hours running simulations and charting the results. And now for the first time,
Schmuck Sports is proud to give it to you! Let's break down some matchups in the hopes of gaining insight on not only
game outcome, but player performance.
BENGALS @ BROWNS
Bottom Line: The kid shows flashes and struggles, falls short
Joe Burrow proves that he's a better QB than his debut against the Chargers.
But along with 2 TD passes, he throws a pick-6, and also coughs it up on a strip sack.
Mayfield the Manager manages his team to a close win.
PROJECTED SCORE
|
28 |
|
31 |
The Browns are probably looking to show they're not as slow as they looked last week when the Ravens ran circles around them.
LETS GAMBLE
Vegas is high on the Browns because of all the weapons on one side, and all the rookieness on the other.
Madden thinks Vegas is high on something, because it sims out a close one.
|
Vegas |
|
Sim |
|
Spread |
 -8.5 |
|
 -3 |
Total |
46 |
|
59 |
Schmuck's guidance:
Don't touch it. If you can tease the spread down, go for it. But still waiting for the Browns to put up points.
VIKINGS @ COLTS
Bottom Line: Colts defense steps up big
It's a defensive battle, with the Colts scoring on a Cousins strip sack.
But the Vikings also generate three takeaways of their own.
PROJECTED SCORE
|
17 |
|
30 |
I'm gonna go ahead and assume those three turnovers the Vikings got were 3 picks thrown by Philip Rivers.
One thing's for sure. Rivers hasn't changed much. Still throwing those lollipops up.
LETS GAMBLE
|
Vegas |
|
Sim |
|
Spread |
 -3.5 |
|
 -13 |
Total |
47 |
|
47 |
Schmuck's guidance:
I could see the over 47 definitely happening.
IND OVER 47
RAMS @ EAGLES
Bottom Line: Goff under pressure all day
Philly dominates Goff from the jump.
PROJECTED SCORE
|
20 |
|
30 |
Jared Goff throws 3 INTs.
LETS GAMBLE
|
Vegas |
|
Sim |
|
Spread |
 -4.5 |
|
 -10 |
Total |
49 |
|
43 |
Schmuck's guidance:
The way the Eagles were dominated by that team in DC, it would be surprising if you were to bet this.
PHI - 4.5
PHI UNDER 49
49ers @ JETS
Bottom Line: A Jimmy G Touchdown in OT wins it
The Jets defense plays tough, picking Jimmy G three times.
Jets miss two FGs which might factor into the outcome.
PROJECTED SCORE
|
33 |
|
27 |
LETS GAMBLE
Vegas has the 9ers getting back on track this week, but jets cover the spread and go OVER.
|
Vegas |
|
Sim |
|
Spread |
 -7.5 |
|
 -6 |
Total |
42.5 |
|
60 |
Schmuck's guidance:
SF OVER 42.5
JAGS @ TITANS
Bottom Line: Vaunted Titans defense not able to stop Minshew
The Jags defense is impressive, pressuring Tannehill and getting a pick.
PROJECTED SCORE
|
31 |
|
28 |
Surprising to see the Titans defense get shredded by Redneck Minshew. 300 yds and 2 TDs.
LETS GAMBLE
|
Vegas |
|
Sim |
|
Spread |
 -11 |
|
 +3 |
Total |
42.5 |
|
59 |
Schmuck's guidance:
The total seems low for two teams that have shown an ability to move the ball.
JAX + 11
TEN OVER 42.5
BRONCOS @ STEELERS
Bottom Line: Big Ben with a ton of yds, but can't turn them into points
Melvin Gordon runs hard and picks up a pair of TD.
Big Ben with 400 passing yds, but only 1 TD.
PROJECTED SCORE
|
31 |
|
13 |
Impressive win on the road for the Donks, who lost at home last week.
No easy task to go into Pittsburgh and get a W.
LETS GAMBLE
|
Vegas |
|
Sim |
|
Spread |
 -5 |
|
 +18 |
Total |
44 |
|
44 |
Schmuck's guidance:
Probably a close game, over the total probably looks more appealing than the spread. But Madden outcome is right at 44.
DEN + 5
-JersanOne
Schmuck Sports Contributor