The Madden Moneyline: Week 2 Outlook

by JersanOne


Published on Wed, Sep 17, 2020 at 8:30 am PST


Photo Courtesy: espn.com


The accuracy of Madden simulations versus reality are well-documented. We set out to see just how accurate, and pass that info to you. We do all the heavy lifting for you. We will this info and let's see how it compares to reality.

We've spent many hours running simulations and charting the results. And now for the first time, Schmuck Sports is proud to give it to you! Let's break down some matchups in the hopes of gaining insight on not only game outcome, but player performance.

BENGALS @ BROWNS

Bottom Line: The kid shows flashes and struggles, falls short

Joe Burrow proves that he's a better QB than his debut against the Chargers. But along with 2 TD passes, he throws a pick-6, and also coughs it up on a strip sack. Mayfield the Manager manages his team to a close win.

PROJECTED SCORE
28
31

The Browns are probably looking to show they're not as slow as they looked last week when the Ravens ran circles around them.

LETS GAMBLE

Vegas is high on the Browns because of all the weapons on one side, and all the rookieness on the other. Madden thinks Vegas is high on something, because it sims out a close one.

Vegas Sim
Spread  -8.5  -3
Total 46 59

Schmuck's guidance:

Don't touch it. If you can tease the spread down, go for it. But still waiting for the Browns to put up points.

VIKINGS @ COLTS

Bottom Line: Colts defense steps up big

It's a defensive battle, with the Colts scoring on a Cousins strip sack. But the Vikings also generate three takeaways of their own.

PROJECTED SCORE
17
30

I'm gonna go ahead and assume those three turnovers the Vikings got were 3 picks thrown by Philip Rivers. One thing's for sure. Rivers hasn't changed much. Still throwing those lollipops up.

LETS GAMBLE

Vegas Sim
Spread  -3.5  -13
Total 47 47

Schmuck's guidance:

I could see the over 47 definitely happening.

IND OVER 47



RAMS @ EAGLES

Bottom Line: Goff under pressure all day

Philly dominates Goff from the jump.

PROJECTED SCORE
20
30

Jared Goff throws 3 INTs.

LETS GAMBLE

Vegas Sim
Spread  -4.5  -10
Total 49 43

Schmuck's guidance:

The way the Eagles were dominated by that team in DC, it would be surprising if you were to bet this.

PHI - 4.5

PHI UNDER 49



49ers @ JETS

Bottom Line: A Jimmy G Touchdown in OT wins it

The Jets defense plays tough, picking Jimmy G three times. Jets miss two FGs which might factor into the outcome.

PROJECTED SCORE
33
27

LETS GAMBLE

Vegas has the 9ers getting back on track this week, but jets cover the spread and go OVER.

Vegas Sim
Spread  -7.5  -6
Total 42.5 60

Schmuck's guidance:

SF OVER 42.5



JAGS @ TITANS

Bottom Line: Vaunted Titans defense not able to stop Minshew

The Jags defense is impressive, pressuring Tannehill and getting a pick.

PROJECTED SCORE
31
28

Surprising to see the Titans defense get shredded by Redneck Minshew. 300 yds and 2 TDs.

LETS GAMBLE

Vegas Sim
Spread  -11  +3
Total 42.5 59

Schmuck's guidance:

The total seems low for two teams that have shown an ability to move the ball.

JAX + 11

TEN OVER 42.5



BRONCOS @ STEELERS

Bottom Line: Big Ben with a ton of yds, but can't turn them into points

Melvin Gordon runs hard and picks up a pair of TD. Big Ben with 400 passing yds, but only 1 TD.

PROJECTED SCORE
31
13

Impressive win on the road for the Donks, who lost at home last week. No easy task to go into Pittsburgh and get a W.

LETS GAMBLE

Vegas Sim
Spread  -5  +18
Total 44 44

Schmuck's guidance:

Probably a close game, over the total probably looks more appealing than the spread. But Madden outcome is right at 44.

DEN + 5



-JersanOne

Schmuck Sports Contributor