The Madden Moneyline: Texans at Chiefs
by
Aht Dafuq
Published on Wed, Sep 2nd, 2020 at 8:30 pm PST
Photo Courtesy: houstontexans.com
The accuracy of Madden simulations versus reality are well-documented. We set out to see just how accurate,
and pass that info to you. We did all the heavy lifting for you. You're welcome.
We've spent many hours running simulations and charting the results. And now for the first time,
Schmuck Sports is proud to give it to you! Let's break down each matchup in the hopes of gaining insight on not only
game outcome, but player performance.
Bottom Line: Late Heroics by Watson not enough
In each matchup, Watston threw for an avg of 320 yds. But a couple of times he threw some picks. In the end, the Chiefs take 3 out of 5 matches.
But don't forget, the spread is Chiefs -9.5
PROJECTED SCORE
 |
16 |
 |
21 |
The Chiefs dominate most the game, controlling the clock on the ground with Helaire and breaking big plays with Hill and Watkins.
KEY FACTOR
Mahomes was the true game manager, hitting Hill on some key drive-sustaining plays. Capped off by some short TD runs by Helaire who ends up racking up some decent fantasy points.
Keep in mind: Helaire ends up being a stud through almost all the iterations.
|
Top Rusher |
Rush |
Yds |
TD |
FUM |
|
D. Johnson |
10 |
50 |
1 |
0 |
|
Helaire |
19 |
95 |
2 |
0 |
FANTASY EDGE
Despite losing most iterations, Watson puts up some great stats, even against that KC defense, which does just enough, but is not game-changing.
Here are your standouts
offense
|
Standout |
Yds |
TD |
|
Watson |
330 |
3 |
|
Helaire |
79 |
2 |
|
Watkins |
110 |
1 |
defense
|
Sacks |
INT |
FF |
|
3 |
1 |
1 |
LETS GAMBLE
Vegas has this game as a KC blowout. Madden simulations see it differently.
|
Vegas |
|
Sim |
|
| Spread |
-9.5 |
|
-4 |
| Total |
54.5 |
|
53.5(U)* |
| *Total estimate is greater than score total because they are two different data points factored separately. |
Vegas spread holds firm at -9.5, but Madden has an issue with that spread. It thinks that might be too wide.
Schmuck's guidance:
HOU + 9.5
KC UNDER 54.5
-Aht Dafuq
Schmuck Sports Contributor